Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.448551 0.524707 0.610227 0.713459 0.834818 0.973111 1.142883
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.339059 0.440872 0.568178 0.739458 0.964557 1.251240 1.645605
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.275555 0.384504 0.530891 0.742777 1.043074 1.455617 2.069188
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.236189 0.349077 0.509925 0.757122 1.129928 1.675170 2.540447
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.199660 0.309915 0.475085 0.742310 1.167460 1.823783 2.925606
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.173086 0.280650 0.449153 0.734598 1.211057 1.983246 3.347166
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.154242 0.260258 0.433260 0.738949 1.272215 2.176102 3.849509
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.144767 0.253599 0.438162 0.777537 1.394835 2.486673 4.600666
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.135936 0.246588 0.441095 0.812338 1.514578 2.807361 5.418406
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.126482 0.237036 0.437994 0.835174 1.614621 3.104579 6.236209
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.116312 0.224721 0.428065 0.843349 1.687011 3.357975 7.004892
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.105806 0.210352 0.412323 0.837731 1.730640 3.559484 7.696122
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.094669 0.193595 0.390354 0.817636 1.743973 3.705564 8.303096
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.089917 0.189237 0.392732 0.848650 1.870360 4.109143 9.551839
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.083132 0.179707 0.383138 0.852410 1.937208 4.391746 10.567999
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.078176 0.173449 0.379623 0.868950 2.034932 4.757313 11.842818
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.071106 0.161617 0.362447 0.851876 2.051506 4.935729 12.683364
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.065407 0.152197 0.349521 0.842985 2.086363 5.162760 13.686775
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061224 0.145795 0.342748 0.848001 2.156303 5.486603 15.002391
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.059858 0.145949 0.351425 0.892487 2.333306 6.109585 17.247083
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.058243 0.145290 0.358040 0.932615 2.504832 6.744127 19.639278
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.055936 0.142612 0.359320 0.958952 2.643088 7.309748 21.933386
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.052928 0.137773 0.354543 0.968381 2.735921 7.763227 23.972759